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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.58vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.60+8.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+4.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-1.30vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+1.36vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+1.21vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-5.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.87-5.30vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.96-3.10vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.34-1.71vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.75-4.12vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.15-3.06vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Bowdoin College2.0710.8%1st Place
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6.65Yale University1.869.4%1st Place
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8.58Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island0.602.5%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.1012.7%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.443.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University0.833.6%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.2%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.1012.7%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
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9.9Boston College0.964.4%1st Place
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12.29Connecticut College0.342.0%1st Place
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10.88Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University0.151.7%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.203.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Young | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 18.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 27.3% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.