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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.75+6.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+0.29vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.86-1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-3.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.44-0.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.60-0.14vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.96-3.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.17-0.92vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-4.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.83-5.93vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.34-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Harvard University2.1010.8%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College1.878.9%1st Place
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8.58Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University0.752.8%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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6.29Bowdoin College2.0710.3%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University1.869.0%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.1010.7%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.205.3%1st Place
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11.86University of Rhode Island0.602.6%1st Place
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10.0Boston College0.964.1%1st Place
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13.08Northeastern University0.172.1%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University0.834.3%1st Place
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12.33Connecticut College0.342.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 27.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.