← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.83+5.55vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.15+7.23vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.72+3.86vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.05+5.28vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.64vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.52+1.49vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+5.30vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.88-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.86vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.76vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.98vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University3.41-3.72vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.52-1.64vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.86+2.07vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.41-7.13vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.45-4.15vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.55-5.47vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.73-11.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.55Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
9.23University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
-
6.86Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.28Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
7.49Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
12.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
-
6.11Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.98SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.28George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
11.36Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
-
16.07Connecticut College0.860.0%1st Place
-
7.87Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
11.85Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
11.53University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
6.49Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Simone Staff | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 5.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Maes | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 12.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Lau-Hansen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 57.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.