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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+3.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+1.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+0.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48-0.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-0.69vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90-0.68vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04-0.94vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Harvard University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.9Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.29Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.4Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.32Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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5.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 15.4% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 4.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 42.4% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.