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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+2.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+0.77vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.19+1.47vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.34-0.24vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.03-1.42vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.28-2.76vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.99-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Hampton University0.5819.1%1st Place
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4.37Christopher Newport University0.6012.3%1st Place
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3.77University of South Florida1.1918.4%1st Place
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5.47Washington College0.198.0%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.2%1st Place
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5.76University of Virginia-0.346.1%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University-0.037.8%1st Place
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5.24Old Dominion University0.288.3%1st Place
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7.52Fordham University-0.992.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Tyler Brown | 19.1% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Aston Atherton | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
Humberto Porrata | 18.4% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
Joseph Bonacci | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 10.2% |
Max Kleha | 17.2% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 12.8% |
Annika Milstien | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
Jonah Willoughby | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.