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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.63vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.17+10.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.20vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+3.24vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.55vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.75+1.84vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83+0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.60+1.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44-2.50vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.10-7.14vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-8.25vs Predicted
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15Boston College0.96-4.88vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.55vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.83-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Bowdoin College2.079.7%1st Place
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6.63Yale University1.869.4%1st Place
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13.17Northeastern University0.171.4%1st Place
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8.71Brown University1.334.6%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.6%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.205.2%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.2%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
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10.08Salve Regina University0.834.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Rhode Island0.603.0%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University1.444.5%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College2.1012.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.1012.0%1st Place
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10.12Boston College0.963.4%1st Place
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12.45Connecticut College0.341.7%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University0.833.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 28.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.