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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.82vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+4.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.44+6.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.29vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+0.82vs Predicted
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6Boston College0.96+4.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.17+5.11vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.86-2.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-1.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.83-0.90vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83-1.99vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.10-7.25vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.75-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.60-3.09vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-6.74vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.34-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Dartmouth College1.878.8%1st Place
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6.34Bowdoin College2.0710.2%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.445.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.6%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.1011.7%1st Place
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10.11Boston College0.963.2%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.8%1st Place
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13.11Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
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6.58Yale University1.868.7%1st Place
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8.61Brown University1.335.2%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University0.834.3%1st Place
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10.01Salve Regina University0.834.1%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.1011.9%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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11.91University of Rhode Island0.602.4%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.4%1st Place
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12.4Connecticut College0.341.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 28.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.