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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+5.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+3.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-1.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83+2.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+0.44vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-4.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.83-0.77vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.96-2.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.60-1.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.75-3.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.17-1.79vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.88vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.07-10.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Yale University1.869.2%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College1.8710.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University1.335.5%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.2%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.443.9%1st Place
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5.64Dartmouth College2.1013.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University0.833.3%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.205.0%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University2.1011.4%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University0.833.2%1st Place
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9.96Boston College0.964.2%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island0.601.9%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University0.752.8%1st Place
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13.21Northeastern University0.171.1%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
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6.22Bowdoin College2.0710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Young | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 29.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.