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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+9.12vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+3.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+1.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+4.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.51vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.17+4.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.44-0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.60+1.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.86-5.37vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.96-2.98vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-4.50vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.33-6.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.79vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.75-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Salve Regina University0.834.0%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College1.8710.8%1st Place
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6.45Bowdoin College2.0710.3%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College2.1010.8%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.1012.1%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.2%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University0.171.2%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.443.8%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island0.601.9%1st Place
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6.63Yale University1.869.6%1st Place
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10.02Boston College0.964.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.4%1st Place
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8.67Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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12.21Connecticut College0.342.0%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 29.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 16.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.