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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+7.31vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.28vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+5.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+4.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.60+4.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.86-1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-3.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-3.60vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.96-1.03vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-3.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.17+0.09vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.83-3.89vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-9.14vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.75-4.97vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.34-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College1.8710.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.8%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.203.9%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.444.4%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University0.833.9%1st Place
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11.89University of Rhode Island0.602.5%1st Place
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6.71Yale University1.867.8%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.1012.0%1st Place
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6.4Bowdoin College2.0710.4%1st Place
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9.97Boston College0.963.7%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.336.1%1st Place
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13.09Northeastern University0.171.3%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University0.834.0%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University2.1011.3%1st Place
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11.03Roger Williams University0.752.4%1st Place
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12.26Connecticut College0.342.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 28.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.