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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.60+8.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+1.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+4.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College0.96+1.93vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-3.13vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83+0.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-6.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.34-0.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.33-5.34vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.75-4.02vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-2.83vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.44-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Dartmouth College1.879.9%1st Place
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6.63Yale University1.869.6%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.7%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island0.601.9%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.0710.1%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University0.833.7%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.4%1st Place
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9.93Boston College0.964.0%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.1011.9%1st Place
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10.03Salve Regina University0.834.3%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.2%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.1012.0%1st Place
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12.16Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
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8.66Brown University1.334.6%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University0.752.3%1st Place
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13.17Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma Snead | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 19.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 29.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.