Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Timothy Harding 5.4% 6.4% 8.7% 6.3% 8.7% 9.3% 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 9.0% 7.4% 6.8% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Mackenzie Bryan 20.9% 18.7% 14.5% 11.1% 10.5% 7.2% 6.6% 5.6% 2.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Martim Anderson 18.4% 17.4% 14.4% 13.0% 11.6% 8.2% 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Gemperline 9.0% 8.8% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 10.6% 10.9% 8.7% 7.8% 6.5% 6.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 5.7% 6.6% 5.3% 9.9% 6.2% 10.1% 9.6% 8.6% 9.4% 7.7% 9.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
William Crary 6.6% 8.4% 11.0% 10.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.7% 8.5% 9.0% 6.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
John Wehner 5.8% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.8% 6.1% 8.0% 9.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.7% 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Emily Petno 5.6% 6.3% 6.6% 5.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.3% 7.7% 9.5% 10.3% 9.1% 7.1% 5.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Wallace 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 3.3% 5.7% 15.8% 30.1% 36.2%
Yann Cudennec 3.1% 1.8% 4.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 6.0% 7.0% 9.7% 10.6% 14.6% 16.7% 9.0% 3.0% 0.6%
Patrick Penwell 5.0% 4.7% 4.2% 5.7% 6.3% 6.0% 6.4% 10.3% 8.1% 11.2% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Kelsey Delosh 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 3.1% 5.1% 12.5% 27.1% 45.6%
Michael Rottier 2.5% 3.7% 3.9% 5.9% 4.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.9% 10.2% 10.3% 10.4% 12.0% 10.6% 6.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Casey Gowrie 10.1% 8.8% 10.0% 11.6% 11.2% 10.1% 9.4% 8.1% 7.8% 5.2% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 3.6% 5.7% 9.2% 27.4% 28.1% 15.3%
Joseph Dragon 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 8.4% 14.1% 20.7% 17.0% 8.2% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.