← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.70+2.85vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.24+2.89vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.02+2.57vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.37+1.04vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.04vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.56-1.49vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.98vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University0.95-2.40vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.85Cornell University1.7018.5%1st Place
-
4.89George Washington University1.2410.4%1st Place
-
5.57Fordham University1.027.6%1st Place
-
5.04Georgetown University1.3710.7%1st Place
-
3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7615.9%1st Place
-
4.51University of Pennsylvania1.5614.3%1st Place
-
5.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.2%1st Place
-
5.6Old Dominion University0.957.4%1st Place
-
6.58U. S. Naval Academy0.374.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brooke Shachoy | 18.5% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
Victroia Flatley | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
Riley Kloc | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% |
Madison Bashaw | 15.9% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Amanda Majernik | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
Ella Withington | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.