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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+4.41vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.59+3.33vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.09+1.52vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.23vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.05-0.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.39vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-1.55vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-2.97vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.669.3%1st Place
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5.33University of Pennsylvania1.599.6%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University2.0913.2%1st Place
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4.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1616.6%1st Place
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4.49George Washington University2.0513.4%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy2.167.6%1st Place
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5.45Fordham University1.579.6%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University1.9011.2%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University1.819.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Keiran James Golden | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% |
Christopher Sharpless | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% |
Edward Cook | 13.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
Will Murray | 16.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
Matt Logue | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% |
Clayton Snyder | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
Lilly Myers | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
Noyl Odom | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.