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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.70+2.77vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+2.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.37+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.56+0.60vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.02+0.47vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-0.89vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95-2.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Cornell University1.7016.9%1st Place
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4.91George Washington University1.2410.9%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University1.379.5%1st Place
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4.6University of Pennsylvania1.5612.2%1st Place
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5.47Fordham University1.029.7%1st Place
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5.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.309.6%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7618.4%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University0.957.6%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy0.375.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.9% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Victroia Flatley | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
| Ella Withington | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 14.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.