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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.05+3.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+3.28vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.09+1.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.69vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57-0.47vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.81vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51George Washington University2.0513.5%1st Place
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5.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6610.2%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University2.0914.0%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University1.8111.2%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Naval Academy2.167.8%1st Place
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5.53Fordham University1.578.7%1st Place
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4.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1615.0%1st Place
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5.17Cornell University1.909.7%1st Place
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5.21University of Pennsylvania1.599.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Keiran James Golden | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% |
| Edward Cook | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 19.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
| Will Murray | 15.0% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.