Race 4A

susan-rogers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adra Ivancich 10.8% 11.7% 13.6% 13.5% 12.9% 11.9% 9.2% 6.7% 4.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Annika VanderHorst 8.4% 8.8% 10.3% 11.7% 10.5% 10.9% 11.7% 10.1% 9.0% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8%
Deana Fedulova 14.2% 14.4% 14.3% 13.1% 12.7% 10.0% 8.6% 5.9% 3.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Keelyn Brink 4.8% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 11.5% 11.3% 11.5% 10.1% 5.7%
Katherine Mason 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.0% 8.1% 11.5% 11.7% 11.6% 14.1% 9.0%
Sophia Devling 30.9% 24.1% 16.5% 11.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sadie Yoder 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.9% 10.2% 12.2% 13.8% 12.8% 8.6%
Nikita Troast 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 7.0% 6.3% 7.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.8% 13.8% 14.0% 7.5%
Sabrina Starck 11.9% 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% 14.0% 10.5% 9.7% 7.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Gentry Schneider 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 4.7% 7.2% 9.9% 14.2% 48.2%
Esme Gonzalez 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 9.1% 10.8% 11.8% 12.9% 14.3% 9.5%
Nicole Ostapowicz 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 4.7% 6.0% 8.5% 9.4% 10.3% 11.7% 13.2% 13.9% 9.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.