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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+3.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.04+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.40vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90+0.29vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-2.55vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-3.52vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-2.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.29Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.45Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.86Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 17.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Laura Cuccio | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 44.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 13.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.