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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+3.45vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.28+3.16vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.58+0.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.34-0.18vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.99+0.53vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-2.39vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.03-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Christopher Newport University0.6011.6%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University0.288.6%1st Place
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3.49Hampton University0.5820.9%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.7%1st Place
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3.74University of South Florida1.1918.6%1st Place
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5.82University of Virginia-0.346.4%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University-0.992.6%1st Place
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5.61Washington College0.196.8%1st Place
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5.47North Carolina State University-0.036.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Atherton | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
Jonah Willoughby | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
Tyler Brown | 20.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Max Kleha | 17.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
Humberto Porrata | 18.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 13.3% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 52.4% |
Joseph Bonacci | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
Annika Milstien | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.