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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+4.04vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.56+2.64vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.70+0.80vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+1.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24-0.15vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.02-0.51vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.37-1.39vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Georgetown University1.379.8%1st Place
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4.64University of Pennsylvania1.5612.0%1st Place
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3.8Cornell University1.7017.0%1st Place
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5.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.9%1st Place
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4.85George Washington University1.2411.7%1st Place
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5.49Fordham University1.028.9%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7617.2%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy0.374.8%1st Place
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5.62Old Dominion University0.957.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Ella Withington | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 17.2% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 35.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.