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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.59+4.34vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+3.61vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.05+1.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+1.42vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.09-0.65vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81-1.27vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.39vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.90-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Pennsylvania1.599.5%1st Place
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5.61Fordham University1.578.6%1st Place
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4.57George Washington University2.0513.8%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.668.5%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.0913.0%1st Place
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4.73Old Dominion University1.8113.7%1st Place
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4.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.4%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy2.168.6%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University1.9010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Christopher Sharpless | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% |
Clayton Snyder | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
Matt Logue | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
Keiran James Golden | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
Edward Cook | 13.0% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
Noyl Odom | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
Will Murray | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.5% |
Lilly Myers | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.