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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+4.11vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+2.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.70+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.56+0.61vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-0.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.02-1.50vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95-2.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Georgetown University1.3710.1%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University1.2411.3%1st Place
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3.75Cornell University1.7018.6%1st Place
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4.61University of Pennsylvania1.5612.2%1st Place
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3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7616.9%1st Place
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5.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.309.3%1st Place
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5.5Fordham University1.028.5%1st Place
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5.55Old Dominion University0.958.6%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy0.374.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 18.6% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.9% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Ella Withington | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.4% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.