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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+3.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+3.81vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.56+4.94vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.72+3.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51+0.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-2.36vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.92-1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69-1.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.69-6.51vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.19-0.65vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.47vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.96+0.37vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
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3.5Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.94McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.35Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University1.920.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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5.49Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.35University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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13.53Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.37Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 24.1% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Paggi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 4.2% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 35.8% | 11.9% |
| John Hurley | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 76.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 24.1% | 25.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.