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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+3.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+3.47vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.05+1.55vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.09+0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.59vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.74vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-1.41vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Old Dominion University1.8110.7%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.668.9%1st Place
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4.55George Washington University2.0513.3%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.0914.6%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.168.4%1st Place
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4.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1615.1%1st Place
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5.59Fordham University1.578.2%1st Place
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5.18Cornell University1.9010.5%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania1.5910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Noyl Odom | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
Keiran James Golden | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
Matt Logue | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
Edward Cook | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% |
Will Murray | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
Clayton Snyder | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 18.0% |
Lilly Myers | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
Christopher Sharpless | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.