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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.70+2.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+3.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+2.71vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.37+1.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.17vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.56-2.39vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.02-2.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Cornell University1.7018.9%1st Place
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5.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.3%1st Place
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5.71Old Dominion University0.957.1%1st Place
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5.01Georgetown University1.3710.0%1st Place
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7618.4%1st Place
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4.88George Washington University1.2410.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Pennsylvania1.5612.6%1st Place
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5.45Fordham University1.028.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy0.374.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Brooke Shachoy | 18.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
Ella Withington | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
Riley Kloc | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
Madison Bashaw | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
Amanda Majernik | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
Victroia Flatley | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.