Race 2B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Franco Bilik 10.6% 11.9% 11.6% 9.5% 11.1% 9.2% 9.9% 7.7% 6.5% 4.8% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Carvalho 6.0% 9.6% 6.9% 7.7% 9.5% 8.8% 8.9% 7.9% 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 4.4% 2.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
John Rolander 23.7% 18.0% 15.7% 13.0% 11.8% 7.3% 5.3% 2.2% 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Stames 4.2% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 6.4% 7.9% 6.2% 8.7% 10.9% 10.5% 10.3% 8.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Scott Booth 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 11.3% 9.3% 11.1% 9.8% 9.0% 7.3% 6.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 12.7% 13.2% 14.5% 11.9% 10.4% 10.6% 8.2% 6.0% 5.1% 3.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille Matile 9.0% 6.7% 8.0% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7% 8.6% 9.3% 10.1% 8.2% 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Paggi 3.9% 5.0% 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 7.1% 6.6% 10.1% 8.5% 11.1% 9.7% 11.6% 7.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 3.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 3.9% 9.0% 7.6% 9.2% 10.3% 11.9% 11.8% 8.4% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Thomas Gallagher 3.8% 3.3% 5.6% 4.7% 5.3% 6.1% 6.7% 9.2% 10.9% 10.9% 12.1% 9.2% 8.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 10.6% 9.9% 8.9% 10.0% 8.9% 11.3% 9.6% 9.9% 6.7% 5.0% 5.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.0% 4.4% 6.4% 6.2% 6.4% 8.7% 9.4% 15.9% 14.8% 9.9% 4.0% 0.6%
Kelsey Martins 0.9% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 4.1% 5.2% 7.4% 17.1% 24.2% 24.1% 6.3%
John Hurley 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 3.0% 5.1% 12.5% 75.3%
George Williams 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 8.7% 17.0% 26.2% 18.5% 4.4%
David Tampellini 0.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 7.0% 11.8% 19.5% 36.2% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.