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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+3.47vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+3.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.62vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+0.87vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.59-0.57vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-1.71vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-2.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.05-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University2.0915.8%1st Place
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5.47Fordham University1.579.0%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy2.166.9%1st Place
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4.87Old Dominion University1.8111.7%1st Place
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.4%1st Place
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5.43University of Pennsylvania1.599.5%1st Place
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5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6610.1%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University1.9010.3%1st Place
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4.45George Washington University2.0513.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Edward Cook | 15.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
Clayton Snyder | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 16.2% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 17.0% |
Noyl Odom | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
Will Murray | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
Christopher Sharpless | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
Keiran James Golden | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% |
Lilly Myers | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
Matt Logue | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.