← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.49+2.41vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.41+4.22vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.97+1.72vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+6.18vs Predicted
-
5McGill University1.56+3.86vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.92+1.80vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.23-0.10vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.69-2.66vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69-0.67vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.51-3.94vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-1.96+4.29vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.58-6.20vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College1.72-4.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.28vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut0.19-3.56vs Predicted
-
17Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
-
6.22Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
4.72Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
8.86McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
-
7.8Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.34Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.06Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
15.29Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
-
5.8University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.29Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
-
12.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
-
12.44University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
13.64Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 23.8% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 5.1% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brad Carvalho | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Paggi | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Scott Booth | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hurley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 74.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 23.4% | 23.4% | 6.2% |
| George Williams | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 4.3% |
| David Tampellini | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 21.6% | 35.5% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.