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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+4.12vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.70+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.56+1.57vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+1.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.37+1.65vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-0.42vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.06vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.02-2.58vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Georgetown University1.379.3%1st Place
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3.76Cornell University1.7018.4%1st Place
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4.57University of Pennsylvania1.5612.0%1st Place
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5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.5%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy0.375.2%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University0.957.3%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7617.3%1st Place
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5.42Fordham University1.029.8%1st Place
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4.93George Washington University1.2410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Riley Kloc | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
Brooke Shachoy | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
Amanda Majernik | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
Ella Withington | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 34.4% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
Madison Bashaw | 17.3% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
Victroia Flatley | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.