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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+4.43vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+2.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.09+1.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.90-0.79vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-2.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.05-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Fordham University1.578.8%1st Place
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4.82Old Dominion University1.8111.1%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University2.0914.9%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy2.167.5%1st Place
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5.44University of Pennsylvania1.598.2%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University1.9011.5%1st Place
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4.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.6%1st Place
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5.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6610.1%1st Place
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4.5George Washington University2.0513.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Clayton Snyder | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.5% |
Noyl Odom | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
Edward Cook | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
Christopher Sharpless | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
Lilly Myers | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
Will Murray | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
Keiran James Golden | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% |
Matt Logue | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.