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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.56+2.55vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.02+2.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.37+2.63vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+0.07vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-0.40vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70-3.22vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-3.12vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Georgetown University1.3710.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Pennsylvania1.5612.5%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University1.028.8%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy0.374.7%1st Place
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5.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.0%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University0.957.1%1st Place
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3.78Cornell University1.7019.0%1st Place
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4.88George Washington University1.2410.9%1st Place
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3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7616.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 34.8% |
| Ella Withington | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 19.0% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.