Race 7B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
John Rolander 23.0% 18.7% 18.9% 11.3% 9.4% 6.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 14.2% 13.9% 11.8% 12.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.5% 7.7% 5.4% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.3% 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 6.3% 5.6% 7.5% 7.6% 10.6% 10.1% 13.9% 9.4% 7.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Scott Booth 7.0% 9.6% 8.6% 9.1% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 8.2% 9.8% 7.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 9.0% 9.0% 9.8% 11.1% 9.6% 10.6% 7.9% 8.8% 7.5% 7.8% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Morrison 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 7.9% 7.5% 10.7% 9.9% 13.0% 8.7% 6.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 9.0% 9.0% 9.3% 9.0% 11.8% 10.5% 8.4% 8.4% 7.7% 6.5% 5.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Stames 4.2% 5.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.6% 10.4% 8.7% 11.6% 10.4% 7.1% 5.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Camille Matile 7.1% 8.7% 8.0% 10.0% 9.3% 10.2% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 6.1% 4.9% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 2.8% 4.7% 3.6% 4.4% 3.5% 5.7% 5.8% 7.6% 9.2% 11.1% 14.3% 12.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 13.0% 9.6% 11.6% 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 8.8% 8.1% 6.9% 4.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 3.2% 6.2% 6.8% 8.0% 7.1% 10.7% 16.0% 12.4% 11.6% 3.9% 0.5%
Kelsey Martins 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 3.0% 3.9% 5.5% 8.6% 17.4% 23.0% 24.1% 5.9%
David Tampellini 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 3.1% 2.6% 6.2% 13.0% 20.5% 35.0% 11.9%
George Williams 0.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 3.1% 4.4% 6.7% 9.8% 17.7% 23.5% 19.8% 4.5%
John Hurley 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 4.5% 12.2% 77.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.