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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+2.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+1.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.19-1.73vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.53vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57-2.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.90-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Georgetown University2.0912.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania2.4216.4%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University1.8111.0%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.667.4%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy2.167.0%1st Place
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4.27George Washington University2.1915.4%1st Place
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4.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.9%1st Place
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5.74Fordham University1.578.0%1st Place
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5.4Cornell University1.908.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Edward Cook | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
Jordan Bruce | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
Noyl Odom | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% |
Keiran James Golden | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.6% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
Anthony Minder | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
Will Murray | 13.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
Clayton Snyder | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 18.6% |
Lilly Myers | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.