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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+3.95vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+2.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+1.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+0.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50-0.09vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.04+1.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-2.68vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.46Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.36Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.28Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 12.9% |
| Laura Cuccio | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 45.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.