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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+3.97vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.02+3.60vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.70+0.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.56-0.40vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-0.48vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.94vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Georgetown University1.3710.7%1st Place
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5.6Fordham University1.027.2%1st Place
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3.8Cornell University1.7019.9%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University1.2411.2%1st Place
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4.6University of Pennsylvania1.5612.9%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University0.958.0%1st Place
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5.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.309.7%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7616.5%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy0.373.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Riley Kloc | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
Victroia Flatley | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
Brooke Shachoy | 19.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
Amanda Majernik | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% |
Ella Withington | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
Madison Bashaw | 16.5% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.