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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+2.46vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+4.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.72+5.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+0.89vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.56+3.90vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79-0.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.92+0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.56-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-3.21vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-3.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-0.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.23vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-1.69vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.40vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.96-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.9McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.44Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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13.6Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.47Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 23.9% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 24.0% | 24.1% | 5.4% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 4.1% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 21.5% | 36.9% | 12.9% |
| John Hurley | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 12.0% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.