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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+3.71vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.56+2.91vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.72+4.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69+3.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79-0.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-2.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-5.41vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.56-1.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.92-3.19vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43+1.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.09vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.96-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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5.31Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.47Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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8.96McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University1.920.0%1st Place
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13.57Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.45Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Paggi | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 23.7% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stames | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 35.2% | 13.5% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 19.6% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 26.9% | 24.9% | 6.6% |
| John Hurley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 12.8% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.