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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+4.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.91vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+2.56vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.19-1.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81-1.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.56vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.90-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Fordham University1.577.2%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy2.167.4%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.668.8%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University2.2013.5%1st Place
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3.95University of Pennsylvania2.4217.4%1st Place
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4.4George Washington University2.1913.9%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.819.7%1st Place
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4.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.5%1st Place
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5.39Cornell University1.908.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Clayton Snyder | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 20.9% |
Keiran James Golden | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.8% |
Diego Escobar | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
Jordan Bruce | 17.4% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
Anthony Minder | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
Noyl Odom | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
Will Murray | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
Lilly Myers | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.