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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+2.46vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.56+2.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51+2.21vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.56+3.98vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+0.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.79-1.65vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.72+0.33vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.08vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.92-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-5.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69-3.49vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.19-0.61vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.37vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.96-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.75Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.98McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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6.43Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.920.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.63Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.47Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 23.0% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Henry Stames | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Paggi | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 3.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 23.7% | 5.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 21.5% | 37.4% | 13.1% |
| John Hurley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.