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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.70+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.56+2.57vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.02+2.53vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24+0.84vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.37+0.11vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-0.33vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.37-1.38vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Cornell University1.7018.5%1st Place
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4.57University of Pennsylvania1.5612.5%1st Place
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5.53Fordham University1.028.1%1st Place
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4.84George Washington University1.2410.5%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University1.379.7%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University0.957.0%1st Place
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5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy0.375.5%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7618.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Brooke Shachoy | 18.5% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Amanda Majernik | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
Victroia Flatley | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
Riley Kloc | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% |
Ella Withington | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 33.9% |
Madison Bashaw | 18.2% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.