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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.19+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.02vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+2.55vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+1.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-0.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81-1.87vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-2.53vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42George Washington University2.1913.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Pennsylvania2.4219.2%1st Place
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.668.2%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University1.576.6%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.2014.8%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.166.8%1st Place
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5.13Old Dominion University1.819.6%1st Place
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5.47Cornell University1.908.2%1st Place
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4.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Minder | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 19.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 19.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 18.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 15.4% |
| Will Murray | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.