Race 11B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Camille Matile 6.3% 9.3% 9.1% 9.5% 8.9% 9.6% 9.6% 11.0% 6.7% 8.0% 5.8% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
John Rolander 24.6% 18.6% 14.0% 12.3% 9.2% 7.8% 6.7% 3.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Booth 8.3% 8.7% 9.6% 9.4% 9.9% 12.1% 6.9% 8.2% 10.8% 7.4% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Stames 3.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.1% 5.6% 7.9% 8.3% 7.7% 10.6% 9.8% 10.3% 9.3% 7.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Renee Torrie 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 9.4% 11.8% 11.8% 12.1% 10.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 7.3% 9.3% 11.1% 11.1% 10.1% 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 8.4% 6.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 13.9% 12.1% 11.2% 12.8% 11.1% 9.5% 8.2% 7.8% 5.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 11.5% 11.4% 12.4% 10.7% 11.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.9% 6.1% 4.4% 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 3.9% 4.0% 5.8% 4.3% 5.2% 6.1% 8.1% 9.5% 9.7% 10.2% 11.5% 8.8% 8.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 8.7% 7.7% 8.5% 9.4% 11.8% 10.2% 11.1% 9.5% 7.0% 6.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Paggi 4.5% 4.9% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 6.3% 7.4% 8.4% 11.2% 11.6% 12.9% 7.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.0% 11.1% 15.6% 13.3% 11.8% 3.9% 0.5%
David Tampellini 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 1.8% 3.6% 6.9% 10.9% 19.3% 37.7% 11.8%
George Williams 0.6% 1.5% 0.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 5.6% 8.1% 9.8% 18.2% 23.1% 17.5% 4.0%
Kelsey Martins 0.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 4.1% 5.0% 7.9% 15.2% 25.4% 25.4% 6.3%
John Hurley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 5.6% 10.8% 77.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.