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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+4.11vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.02+3.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.56+1.56vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.06vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+0.07vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.37-0.41vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70-4.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Georgetown University1.379.5%1st Place
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5.42Fordham University1.028.8%1st Place
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4.56University of Pennsylvania1.5614.1%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7617.0%1st Place
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5.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.309.2%1st Place
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4.93George Washington University1.2411.1%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Naval Academy0.374.7%1st Place
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3.79Cornell University1.7017.8%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University0.957.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 17.0% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Ella Withington | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 34.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.8% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.