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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+6.54vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+4.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.43vs Predicted
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4Williams College0.59+11.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+4.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27-0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-2.25vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.55+3.95vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19-2.92vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35+1.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.34-4.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-6.33vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-11.26vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.80-4.74vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.93-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.45Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.75Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.95Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.85University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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13.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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12.26Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 43.9% |
| John Silvestri | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Ford | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 9.6% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Dykes | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.