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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.83vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+0.58vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.19-1.55vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.90-1.61vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57-2.21vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Old Dominion University1.8110.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania2.4218.3%1st Place
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4.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.8%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.167.8%1st Place
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5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.667.8%1st Place
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4.45George Washington University2.1913.0%1st Place
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5.39Cornell University1.908.6%1st Place
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5.79Fordham University1.576.9%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University2.2013.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Noyl Odom | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
Jordan Bruce | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
Will Murray | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
Keiran James Golden | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% |
Anthony Minder | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
Lilly Myers | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
Clayton Snyder | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 20.5% |
Diego Escobar | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.