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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.24+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.56+2.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.02+2.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.37+2.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.06vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.08vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-1.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37-3.00vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92George Washington University1.249.5%1st Place
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4.61University of Pennsylvania1.5611.0%1st Place
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5.52Fordham University1.027.5%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy0.375.1%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7616.4%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3011.9%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University0.957.4%1st Place
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5.0Georgetown University1.3711.3%1st Place
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3.73Cornell University1.7019.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Chiara Perotti Correa | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
Amanda Majernik | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
Victroia Flatley | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 35.0% |
Madison Bashaw | 16.4% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
Ella Withington | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.3% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% |
Riley Kloc | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
Brooke Shachoy | 19.9% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.