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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.82vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.19+2.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.57vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.00vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-0.41vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.90-1.60vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81-2.90vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy2.167.6%1st Place
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4.34George Washington University2.1913.8%1st Place
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4.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1612.7%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University2.2014.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Pennsylvania2.4215.9%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.668.6%1st Place
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5.4Cornell University1.908.6%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University1.8110.5%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University1.578.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 19.3% |
| Anthony Minder | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Will Murray | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 15.9% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 17.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.