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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.84vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+5.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27+2.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+0.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+2.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.34+3.07vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35+5.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.14vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19-2.95vs Predicted
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11Williams College0.59+4.64vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-4.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.11vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-1.30vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-6.30vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-6.29vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.93-5.16vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.80-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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13.46University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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15.64Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.7Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.93Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| William Dykes | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 48.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| John Cappetta | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.