← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.93vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.24+2.91vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.37+2.06vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.95+1.55vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.70-1.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.56-1.46vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.92vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.02-2.49vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7617.5%1st Place
-
4.91George Washington University1.2411.7%1st Place
-
5.06Georgetown University1.3710.0%1st Place
-
5.55Old Dominion University0.957.3%1st Place
-
3.83Cornell University1.7018.8%1st Place
-
4.54University of Pennsylvania1.5611.7%1st Place
-
5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.309.8%1st Place
-
5.51Fordham University1.028.1%1st Place
-
6.6U. S. Naval Academy0.375.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Madison Bashaw | 17.5% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
Riley Kloc | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
Brooke Shachoy | 18.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
Amanda Majernik | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
Ella Withington | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
Victroia Flatley | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.