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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+7.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.19+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+1.85vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+3.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+1.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+0.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-2.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-0.20vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.27-4.21vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35+1.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.11vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.80-2.17vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.93-3.33vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.55-2.88vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-7.12vs Predicted
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18Williams College0.59-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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13.93University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.83Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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13.12Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.52Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Ford | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Walter Florio | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Booker | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| John Cappetta | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| John Silvestri | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.