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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.59vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.88vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.19+0.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+0.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.90-0.61vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-2.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1611.9%1st Place
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5.07Old Dominion University1.8111.7%1st Place
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3.88University of Pennsylvania2.4218.8%1st Place
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4.28George Washington University2.1914.1%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.667.7%1st Place
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5.39Cornell University1.908.9%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University2.2012.9%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.167.2%1st Place
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5.88Fordham University1.576.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 18.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Anthony Minder | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 20.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.