Race 15A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emily Lambert 14.6% 13.6% 14.4% 10.9% 10.8% 9.7% 9.9% 7.8% 5.9% 2.4%
Elizabeth Barry 15.1% 14.9% 13.8% 12.5% 11.0% 10.1% 8.8% 7.5% 5.5% 0.8%
Atlantic Brugman 13.8% 12.8% 12.7% 11.7% 13.1% 12.8% 8.9% 7.0% 5.1% 2.1%
Emilie Mademann 5.6% 6.2% 7.8% 7.5% 9.1% 10.1% 12.9% 13.2% 14.9% 12.7%
Claire Dennis 11.8% 11.6% 11.0% 11.1% 10.7% 12.6% 10.9% 9.1% 7.6% 3.6%
Krysta Rohde 11.2% 9.8% 8.9% 9.7% 11.9% 10.2% 10.5% 12.4% 10.1% 5.3%
Natalie Salk 9.1% 12.8% 10.9% 13.8% 11.7% 10.4% 11.0% 8.5% 8.0% 3.8%
Laura Cuccio 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 7.8% 9.4% 15.9% 44.9%
Hanna Vincent 11.2% 10.9% 10.3% 11.8% 11.8% 10.7% 10.3% 11.2% 7.1% 4.7%
Phoebe Sprague 4.8% 4.9% 6.4% 7.3% 5.7% 8.4% 9.0% 13.9% 19.9% 19.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.