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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.93vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+5.55vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27+2.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+1.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+2.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.18vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.93+3.61vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06-1.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71-1.06vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.55+2.07vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+1.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-7.19vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.19-7.34vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-1.40vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.80-3.78vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-7.14vs Predicted
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18Williams College0.59-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.86Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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13.07Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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13.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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12.22Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.51Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Ford | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Dykes | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| John Cappetta | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| John Silvestri | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.