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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.56+2.51vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+1.98vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.02+1.43vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.300.00vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.94vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70-3.21vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95-2.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Georgetown University1.3710.4%1st Place
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4.51University of Pennsylvania1.5613.5%1st Place
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4.98George Washington University1.2410.7%1st Place
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5.43Fordham University1.028.0%1st Place
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5.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.9%1st Place
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4.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7615.2%1st Place
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3.79Cornell University1.7018.4%1st Place
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5.51Old Dominion University0.958.6%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy0.374.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% |
| Ella Withington | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.2% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 18.4% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.