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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.19+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.93vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+1.37vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.83vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81-0.89vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-1.38vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-2.54vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38George Washington University2.1915.3%1st Place
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3.93University of Pennsylvania2.4217.2%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University2.2014.8%1st Place
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4.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.2%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.166.9%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University1.819.9%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.666.8%1st Place
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5.46Cornell University1.908.7%1st Place
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5.79Fordham University1.577.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Minder | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
Jordan Bruce | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
Diego Escobar | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
Will Murray | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 20.3% |
Noyl Odom | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% |
Keiran James Golden | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 15.2% |
Lilly Myers | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% |
Clayton Snyder | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.