← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.96vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+6.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.27+3.83vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.24+2.62vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.19+1.87vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.21+0.87vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.27vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.68+0.71vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.45+0.68vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy1.55+3.20vs Predicted
-
11Bates College1.80+1.26vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.47-5.85vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire1.35+0.50vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College3.06-6.82vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut1.93-3.37vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.71-7.19vs Predicted
-
17Williams College0.59-1.28vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.62Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
6.87Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
6.87Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.71Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
9.68Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.2Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
12.26Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.15Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
13.5University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.18Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.63University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.81Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
-
15.72Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
-
13.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% |
| John Cappetta | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 14.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| Walter Florio | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 47.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.