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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+6.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.19+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+1.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+1.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+0.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47-1.15vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.93+2.63vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.55+3.11vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+2.25vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.34-1.66vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-6.46vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.80-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-1.44vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.72vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-8.16vs Predicted
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18Williams College0.59-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.52Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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13.11Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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13.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.74Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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13.56University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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15.49Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Booker | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 11.4% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| William Dykes | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.