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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.70+2.69vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+2.81vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.02+2.48vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.37+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.56-0.29vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-0.92vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-1.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Cornell University1.7019.6%1st Place
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4.81George Washington University1.2410.5%1st Place
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5.48Fordham University1.028.6%1st Place
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5.07Georgetown University1.379.6%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania1.5612.0%1st Place
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5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.3010.8%1st Place
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5.63Old Dominion University0.957.2%1st Place
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7617.2%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy0.374.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 19.6% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Ella Withington | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 15.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 17.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.