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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.04vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+3.90vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+1.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.19+0.35vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.90+0.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-0.40vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81-1.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.19vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Pennsylvania2.4215.7%1st Place
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5.9Fordham University1.576.7%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University2.2014.3%1st Place
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4.35George Washington University2.1914.8%1st Place
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5.33Cornell University1.908.6%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.668.1%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.8110.2%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Naval Academy2.167.3%1st Place
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4.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Bruce | 15.7% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
Clayton Snyder | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 20.4% |
Diego Escobar | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
Anthony Minder | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
Lilly Myers | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
Keiran James Golden | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.4% |
Noyl Odom | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
Will Murray | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.