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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+1.29vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University-1.36+4.38vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22-0.79vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.16+2.16vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston0.76-2.02vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75-0.49vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-2.85vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston1.9838.2%1st Place
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3.29North Carolina State University1.2616.7%1st Place
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7.38Wake Forest University-1.361.7%1st Place
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3.21The Citadel1.2218.3%1st Place
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7.16Clemson University-1.161.6%1st Place
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3.98College of Charleston0.7611.7%1st Place
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6.51The Citadel-0.752.5%1st Place
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5.15Duke University0.065.7%1st Place
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6.09Georgia Institute of Technology-0.433.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 38.2% | 27.6% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 16.7% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chris Straub | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 23.6% | 37.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 18.3% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Paige Berta | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 31.7% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 11.7% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 22.8% | 16.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.