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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+4.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+4.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+2.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.21vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27-1.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-3.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.38vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35+1.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-2.59vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.77vs Predicted
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16Williams College0.59-0.34vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.80-4.71vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.55-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.35Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.91University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.66Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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12.29Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Booker | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
| John Silvestri | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| William Dykes | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| Christopher Ford | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 44.4% |
| John Cappetta | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 6.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.