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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+5.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.19+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+3.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.13vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+2.36vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+3.74vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.55+6.00vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.93+3.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-0.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.47vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80+1.27vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35+1.90vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-6.27vs Predicted
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14Williams College0.59+1.48vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-10.31vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-9.19vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.71-8.20vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.0Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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13.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.27Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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13.9University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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15.48Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.81Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 10.1% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Ford | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 13.1% |
| John Cappetta | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| William Dykes | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 19.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 41.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.