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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.76+3.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.98+0.23vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+2.11vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22-0.83vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26-1.70vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75+0.49vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-1.16+0.13vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-1.36-0.57vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01College of Charleston0.7611.3%1st Place
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2.23College of Charleston1.9838.9%1st Place
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5.11Duke University0.066.4%1st Place
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3.17The Citadel1.2218.6%1st Place
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3.3North Carolina State University1.2616.8%1st Place
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6.49The Citadel-0.752.5%1st Place
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7.13Clemson University-1.161.7%1st Place
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7.43Wake Forest University-1.361.1%1st Place
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6.13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.432.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Fredrikke Foss | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Charles Mckenzie | 38.9% | 27.3% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
Gregory Walters | 18.6% | 22.1% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Olivia Sowa | 16.8% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Malcolm McAlister | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 22.9% | 15.4% |
Paige Berta | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 31.5% |
Chris Straub | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 39.4% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.