← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel1.22+2.15vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.98+0.22vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel-0.75+3.54vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+2.08vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston0.76-1.05vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.26-2.69vs Predicted
-
7Duke University0.06-1.85vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-1.16-0.86vs Predicted
-
9Wake Forest University-1.36-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.15The Citadel1.2218.8%1st Place
-
2.22College of Charleston1.9837.8%1st Place
-
6.54The Citadel-0.752.1%1st Place
-
6.08Georgia Institute of Technology-0.433.7%1st Place
-
3.95College of Charleston0.7611.5%1st Place
-
3.31North Carolina State University1.2617.1%1st Place
-
5.15Duke University0.065.8%1st Place
-
7.14Clemson University-1.161.8%1st Place
-
7.46Wake Forest University-1.361.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gregory Walters | 18.8% | 21.1% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Charles Mckenzie | 37.8% | 28.2% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Malcolm McAlister | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 21.8% | 16.3% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 9.8% |
Fredrikke Foss | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Olivia Sowa | 17.1% | 18.3% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
Paige Berta | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 24.1% | 30.6% |
Chris Straub | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.