← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.56+1.17vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston0.69+1.32vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04+1.71vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.73-0.63vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.03-0.39vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-0.41-0.86vs Predicted
-
7Duke University-0.93-0.85vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-2.36-0.07vs Predicted
-
9Wake Forest University-2.01-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17College of Charleston1.5639.8%1st Place
-
3.32College of Charleston0.6917.6%1st Place
-
4.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.048.0%1st Place
-
3.37Clemson University0.7317.0%1st Place
-
4.61North Carolina State University-0.037.2%1st Place
-
5.14The Citadel-0.416.2%1st Place
-
6.15Duke University-0.932.5%1st Place
-
7.93The Citadel-2.360.7%1st Place
-
7.6Wake Forest University-2.011.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ethan Homberger | 39.8% | 27.6% | 17.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Grace Beard | 17.6% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Chandler Scott | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
Nilah Miller | 17.0% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Annika Milstien | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
Robert Turner | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
Maya Lytje | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 26.1% | 20.2% | 7.3% |
Walter Prause | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 25.2% | 51.8% |
Mary Outland | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 32.6% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.