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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+7.36vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.54vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+5.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+1.54vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-3.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.51-0.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.97vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-5.00vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13-0.04vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.03+1.81vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.34vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-4.45vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.03vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.78-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.0Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.81Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.34Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.55Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.92University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 14.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 40.6% |
| Steven Bell | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 28.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| George Luber | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.