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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+5.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+2.06vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.10vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+0.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.28+3.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51+1.30vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80-0.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+3.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.92vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-1.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.93vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-6.67vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.32vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.030.00vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-5.43vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.3Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.18Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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12.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.96Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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13.93University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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15.32Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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16.0Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.57Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Reed Lorimer | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Steven Bell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 23.5% | 28.1% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 42.6% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.