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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.56+1.18vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.41vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.69+0.33vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04+0.56vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.41+0.29vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.03-1.42vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.93-0.84vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.36-0.08vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-2.01-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18College of Charleston1.5640.6%1st Place
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3.41Clemson University0.7315.6%1st Place
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3.33College of Charleston0.6917.8%1st Place
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4.56Georgia Institute of Technology-0.047.9%1st Place
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5.29The Citadel-0.415.5%1st Place
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4.58North Carolina State University-0.037.5%1st Place
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6.16Duke University-0.933.5%1st Place
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7.92The Citadel-2.361.0%1st Place
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7.57Wake Forest University-2.010.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 40.6% | 25.9% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.6% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Beard | 17.8% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Scott | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Robert Turner | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 2.3% |
| Annika Milstien | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Maya Lytje | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 27.3% | 19.6% | 7.8% |
| Walter Prause | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 24.2% | 52.9% |
| Mary Outland | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 33.3% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.