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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+3.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+2.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+2.04vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+0.43vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+1.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.60vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-3.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.04-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.04Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.43Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.3Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 12.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.