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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.40vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.55vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+5.21vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51-0.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.28+3.16vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21-1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51+0.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-2.27vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.80-3.62vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.65-0.32vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-3.28vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.29+1.12vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.18vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.76vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.78-2.83vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.03-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.28Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.86Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.38Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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11.68Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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15.12Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.17University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.84Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 15.3% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Steven Bell | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 23.3% | 26.8% |
| George Luber | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 13.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.