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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+8.23vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+6.25vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.41vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+2.34vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.34-2.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-1.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-5.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-4.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.81-2.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.99vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.17-3.53vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.32-2.99vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23Roger Williams University1.864.5%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.479.6%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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5.86Yale University2.7312.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.5%1st Place
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7.46Connecticut College2.297.6%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont1.584.3%1st Place
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6.76Boston College2.348.2%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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5.92Brown University2.8510.8%1st Place
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7.91Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University1.813.2%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.2%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.172.4%1st Place
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13.01Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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14.49Maine Maritime Academy0.200.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| John Ped | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 21.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.