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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+8.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.40vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.21+3.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+3.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51-1.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-0.50vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-3.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-1.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.89vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.85vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.29+2.19vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65-2.80vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-5.14vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-2.88vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.03-1.02vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.78-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.03Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.3Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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15.19Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.2Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.98Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 4.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Steven Bell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 28.4% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 44.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.