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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+9.26vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+9.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+2.88vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.88vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.17vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34-1.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-0.87vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.00vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.24-3.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-2.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.81-3.70vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-7.46vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.58vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.32-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.103.4%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University1.172.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.8511.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.388.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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8.03Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University2.478.5%1st Place
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6.81Boston College2.349.7%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.2%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.864.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.7%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.246.2%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.814.0%1st Place
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7.54Connecticut College2.296.5%1st Place
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14.42Maine Maritime Academy0.200.7%1st Place
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13.25Salve Regina University1.321.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 43.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.