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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.59vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+3.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+6.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+4.07vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.17+4.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34-1.15vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24-0.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-3.20vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-5.19vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+0.86vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.81-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.56vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-7.51vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.42vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.86-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.5%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.8512.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island2.103.8%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.2%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.348.8%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.246.2%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University2.478.3%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University1.321.9%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University1.813.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
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7.49Connecticut College2.297.3%1st Place
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14.58Maine Maritime Academy0.200.8%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University1.865.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 21.9% |
| Talia Toland | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 45.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.