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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.41vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+3.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+5.50vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+0.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+2.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.84vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39-1.72vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-2.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.28+0.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.80-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13+2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-4.13vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+0.91vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-4.30vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-3.59vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.29-0.71vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.05vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.03-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.99Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.28Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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13.91University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.7Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.41Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.29Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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15.83Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 7.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Steven Bell | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 27.8% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 22.3% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.